Momentum Trades

Trade Updates – Thursday, January 7, 2010 (PM)

January 2010 | Members

 

NEW TRADE!!!

Vivus (VVUS, $10.09, up $0.86)

Buy to OPEN VVUS March 10 calls (QJSCB, $1.30, up $0.38)

Action:  The stock was at $9.69 this morning at 10:15am and the calls had only traded 55 contracts and were at $1.20.  We had a feeling we might reach $10 but we wanted to confirm the move to double-digits.

The current “ask” is $1.35 so set limit prices at $1.30.  If you aren’t filled in a few minutes, bump it up to $1.40.

There is a chance we slip from here but are we are looking for is the stock making a run to $12.50.  If shares hit this level these options will be worth $2.50-$2.80 minimum, or a double from current levels.


CURRENT TRADES

Research In Motion (RIMM, $65.25, down $0.15)

Feb 60 puts (RFYNL, $1.36, up $0.01)

Entry Price:  $1.50 (1/6/10)
Exit Target:  $3.00   
Return: -9%
Stop Target:  75 cents

Action:  RIMM tried to rally back to $67 as the stock hit a high of $66.26.  The calls dipped to a low of $1.18 which is why we did this morning’s piece on price swings.  It’s part of the game but we think shares break down from here.


Las Vegas Sands (LVS, $18.50, up $0.40)

February 18 calls (LJJBR, $1.78, up $0.32)

Entry Price:  $0.95 (1/5/10)
Exit Target:  $2.00   
Return: 87%
Stop Target: $1.10

Action:   These calls hit a low of $1.30 this morning as shares dipped below $18 but we have been mentioning the cards are showing us $20. 


Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR, $81.51, down $1.43)

February 95 calls (QGMBS, $1.40, down $0.20)

Entry Price:  $1.15 (1/4/10)
Exit Target:  $2.30   
Return: 22%
Stop Target:  $1.25

Action:  Our stop target was tested but we are going to hold the position open.  However, if the stock happens to fall below $80 this week or next the uptrend will be broken and we may have to move to the sidelines.

Imax (IMAX, $14.42, up $0.11)

January 12.50 calls (IMQAV, $1.90, up $0.15)
 
Entry Price:  $1.05 (12/15/09)
Exit Target:  Closed at $2.00 (1/7/10)
Return: 90%
Stop Target:  $1.45
 
Action:   These options have hit a high of $2.05 today and we said to use good ‘til cancel (GTC) orders at $2.  If you were filled, great, if not, keep trying to get $1.95-$2.00 for them.  We may have left some profits on the table but if the uptrend continues we call roll the position out to the latter months.

 
Exxon Mobil (XOM, $69.75, down $0.27)
 
April 75 calls (XOMDO, $0.92, down $0.02)
 
Entry Price:  $1.45 (12/15/09)
Exit Target:  $2.90  
Return: -37%
Stop Target: $0.50 
 
Action:   Continue to hold.    

 
TiVo (TIVO, $10.79, down $0.21) 
 
February 12.50 calls (TUKBV, $1.05, down $0.05) (UPDATED at 1:15pm)
 
Entry Price:  $0.75 (11/30/09)
Exit Target: $1.50
Return:  40%
Stop Target: 50 cents 
 
Action:   Continue to hold.

 

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