July 2013 | Members

 

MEMBERS AREA

Do not risk more than 5% of your trading account on any one trade but do try to take ALL of the trades.  Please remember, ALL “Exit Targets” and “Stop Targets” are targets.  You should not have any “Hard Stops” entered to close any tradesor “Exit Orders” in your brokerage account unless we list one.  We will send out a “Profit Alert” or “New Trade” if we want you to close a position OR if a new trade comes out.  Otherwise, follow instructions at all times in the 9am and 1pm updates.  Also, we will usually give you a heads-up if we think we are going to send an email outside of these time frames.  Closed Trades for 2013: 81-41, including the Weekly Wrap that is 26-3).

1:10pm (EST)

New Trade!!! 

MGM Resorts International (MGM, $15.68, down $0.02)

Buy to OPEN August 16 calls (MGM130817C00016000, $0.50, down $0.03)

Buy to OPEN September 17 calls (MGM130921C00017000, $0.42, down $0.02)

Action:  Shares are on the verge of fresh 52-week peaks.  A close above $16 would be supper bullish for a push towards $20 by yearend.  A vote to approve the company’s proposal to build a casino in Springfield, Massachusetts was approved and we believe the company will beat earnings estimates when they report in early August.

 

Skyworks Solutions (SWKS, $22.90, up $0.16)

Buy to OPEN August 25 calls (SWKS130817C00025000, $0.55, up $0.05)

Action:  Earnings are due out on Thursday and we feel shares could bounce to $25 on a good report or fall to $20 on a miss or lowered guidance.  We are suggesting smaller positions since this is an earnings trade and the options could either double of drop 80%-90%.  This will likely be a 1-2 day trade that we will close by Friday – win, lose, or draw.

 

Current Trades

Aruba Networks (ARUN, $17.55, up $0.25)

August 17 calls (ARUN130817C00017000, $1.10, up $0.15)

Entry Price:  $0.55 (7/8/13)
Exit Target:  $1.10
Return:  100%
Stop Target:  75 cents (Hard Stop)

 

August 18 calls (ARUN130817C00018000, $0.60, up $0.10)

Entry Price:  $0.55 (7/15/13)
Exit Target:  $1.10
Return:  9%
Stop Target:  None

 

October 22 calls (ARUN131019C00022000, $0.50, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.50 (7/15/13)
Exit Target:  $1.00
Return:  0%
Stop Target:  None

Action:  Shares are rebounding back above $17.50 and today’s peak has been $17.66.  A close above $17.61 (Monday and Tuesday’s high) should get $18-$20 in play over the next week or 2.

 

Sony (SNE, $22.12, up $0.16)

August 24 calls (SNE130817C00024000, $0.45, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.50 (7/11/13)
Exit Target:  $1.00
Return:  -10%
Stop Target:  None

 

August 26 calls (SNE130817C00026000, $0.20, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.20 (7/11/13)
Exit Target:  $0.60
Return:  0%
Stop Target:  None

 

October 25 calls (SNE131019C00025000, $0.85, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.80 (7/11/13)
Exit Target:  $1.60
Return:  6%
Stop Target:  None

Action:  Resistance is at $23-$24 and a close above $22.50 should get 52-week highs in play.  News that China is lifting the ban of gaming counsels could have a huge impact on this stock.  Support is at $21 and the 50-day MA and we like these trades going forward as long as $20 holds.

 

Apollo Group (APOL, $18.89, down $0.09)

August 16 puts (APOL130817P00016000, $0.20, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.65 (6/26/13)
Exit Target:  $1.30
Return:  -69%
Stop Target:  None

Action:  We will stick with the trade as long as $20.25 holds and we would like to see a trip below $18 this week.  Yesterday’s low was $18.05.

 

Rambus (RMBS, $9.85, flat)

August 9 calls (RMBS130817C00009000, $1.05, flat)

Entry Price:  $0.55 (6/18/13)
Exit Target:  $1.10 (closed half @ $1.05 on 7/16/13)
Return:  91%
Stop Target:  None

Action:  Close another Quarter of the trade at current levels.  In other words, close half of the half remaining position.

 

Other 2013 Portfolio OPEN positions (4):  These are trades that are still open in the portfolio but are down over 50%.  They have longer expiration dates and are on “hold” but are not worth mentioning until they turn around.  This means we would not open any new positions.  We are still keeping track of the trades and we will record the results, accordingly, when we close them or if the options expire.  Click on the 2013Portfolio link in the Members Area to view ALL open/ closed trades.

MGM Resorts International July 17 calls (from May 2013)– HOLD

Clean Energy Fuels July 16 calls (from May 2013) – HOLD

Spiders Dow Jones July 141 puts (from June 2013) – HOLD

iShares Russell 2000 Index July 90 puts (from June 2013) – HOLD

 

WATCH LIST SECTION

These trades are NOT recommendations.  They are trades that we like but have not added to the portfolio as an official recommendation because of market conditions or because we are waiting for better entry prices.  We try not to have more than 12-15 open trades at any one time which is why we created a Watch List.  We will not list entry prices because these stocks are on the verge of breaking out or they could sell off but these are the trades we are watching as new candidates.

We will update this section in the morning.