1:20pm (EST) The bears have used a bevy of negative news to push the market down to support levels once again.  Oil, China, Spain, and unemployment claims are the major negative headlines that led to a big gap down at the open which is where we have spent much of today’s session.  Oil is down $2 to $102 but the geopolitical concerns in Libya have gotten more serious.  Moody’s (MCO, $31.93, down $0.46) downgraded Spain’s debt and issued a negative outlook.  China’s posted its largest trade deficit in 7 years at $7 billion.  And finally, here in the U.S., initial weekly jobless claims were greater-than-expected at 397,000 while the trade deficit for January increased to $46.3 billion from $40.3 billion in the prior month.   As result, all three indexes are right at support and at crucial levels of a trend change. The Dow is off 154 points to 12,058 and has touched a low of 11,988.  We have been mentioning support at 12,000 and that got stretched but the bulls have to hold this level going into the close. The S&P is down 17 points and is at 1,303 after kissing a low of 1,295.  The bulls are trying to hold 1,300 but a close below here could lead to 1,275 and then 1,250. The Nasdaq is getting whacked for 36 points and is at 2,715.  The index has traded to a low of 2,695.  The bulls will be trying to hold 2,700 into the close. Although today’s sell-off looks nasty, there is a good chance the bulls hold these levels.  Sometimes it’s easy to imagine the future, profiting from it is a different story. We do have some good news for you though and some of our subscribers are having a good day on the Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR, $58.00, up $60.81, up $17.17) news.  The company has teamed up with Starbucks (SBUX, $37.77, up $3.23) and will offer a K-cup to coffee lovers.  

From February 15, 2011 (Quotes from that day): “We want to talk about Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR, $46.35, up $2.89) this morning because the stock has been a favorite of ours and a regular candidate on our Watch List.  We have recommended options on them in the past.  The weird thing is that Sunday night we saw the Starbucks (SBUX, $33.58, up $0.23) commercial promoting their instant (single-serve) coffee and “instantly” thought that a deal could be brewing between the two companies, quickly.  In fact, we even wrote up a call option trade on Green Mountain at 10:30am yesterday that failed to make it to press because we wanted to close out a few trades before recommending new ones.    The call options we were following were at 28 cents and volume was at 60 contracts.  Before the closing bell, volume had swelled to nearly 3,000 contracts.  We aren’t sure if there is still a trade here but we investigate “the situation”.  All signs are pointing towards Green Mountain making a run to double nickels ($55).”  (END) Inside our Members Area on that same day, we profiled the March 50 calls (GMCR110319C00050000, $11.00, up $10.60) which were at $1.40 after jumping $1 the day before.  As you can see, these same options fell back down to 40 cents but are up over 3,500%.  We will be watching the close today for clues on where this market is headed but we are expecting support to hold with a slight bounce higher into the close.]]>