Home Depot (HD, $22.70, down $0.63) and Lowe’s (LOW, $19.02, down $0.61) lost 3% after a report showed first quarter mortgage delinquencies jumped to 12%. That means more than one in 10 people are behind on their house payments.
Not only that, home owners with good credit are starting to feel the pinch. In fact, they now make up the largest share of foreclosures as job losses and pay cuts continue to cut like a knife.
All of this could mean more foreclosures and add to the already growing housing inventory which in turn depresses building activity. I had mentioned the sector a couple of weeks ago and said now was not the time to go chasing.
That would include Lowe’s and Home Depot. I would love to see Lowe’s fall back to $17 which is support and if it falls below that level it could test its March low of $13. Home Depot could get interesting at $20. They got a pop on good earnings but nobody is buying the higher priced items. We will have to see how they trade and it’s possible they may not even get to our “alert” prices. If they do, we can then decide if we should go long or short.
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